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, 2014 haben überprüft, ob auch gesamtwirtschaftlich jene Folgen auftreten, die man im täglichen Leben nachgewiesen hat, etwa dass sich Studenten seltener und erfolgloser bewerben, wenn sie von einem tollen Job träumen, sich Patienten von einer Hüftoperation langsamer erholen, wenn sie von einem zu positiven Ergebnis ausgehen, Übergewichtige weniger Gewicht verlieren, wenn sie das Abnehmen idealisieren, Menschen in einer Woche weniger erledigen, wenn sie ihre Zukunft durch eine rosarote Brille sehen oder Studenten schlechtere Noten schreiben, Probleme nicht lösen und Pläne unzulänglich umsetzen, wenn sie in Gedanken an große Studienerfolge schwelgen. Dafür wertete man mittels einer Computeranalyse die Leitartikel der Wirtschaftsseite einer Tageszeitung aus, die in der Krisenzeit 2007 bis 2009 erschienen, und verglich, wie sich eine Woche und einen Monat später der Dow Jones Index entwickelte. Auch analysierte man die Antrittsreden der amerikanischen Präsidenten von 1933 bis 2009 auf positives Denken und verglich am Ende ihrer vierjährigen Amtszeit den wirtschaftlichen Erfolg Bruttoinlandsprodukt, Arbeitslosenquote. Das Ergebnis bestätigte, dass es zu einem sinkenden Aktienindex nach optimistischen Zeitungsartikeln kam, und auch weniger Wirtschaftsleistung und mehr Arbeitslosigkeit nach blumigen Antrittsreden konnten bestätigt werden. Positives Denken einflussreicher Wirtschaftsjournalisten oder Präsidenten endete also in krisenhaften gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklungen, wobei man nicht ausschließen kann, dass diese Zusammenhänge durch Drittvariablen zustande kommen, etwa durch ein getrübtes Konsumklima oder eine ungünstige Auftragslage der Unternehmen. Man kann daraus den Schluss ziehen, dass ein kulturelles Klima, das davon bestimmt ist, positiv an die Zukunft zu denken, ein wichtiger psychologischer Faktor ist, der eher nicht zu einem wirtschaftlichen Aufschwung sondern eher zu einem Abschwung führt. Oswald Neuberger sieht in der Methode des Positiven Denkens eine zirkuläre Falle: “Wenn du keinen Erfolg hast, dann bist du eben selber schuld, weil du es offensichtlich nicht richtig probiert hast. Der Trainer aber bleibt unfehlbar. ” Barbara Ehrenreich warnt in ihrem Buch “Smile or Die” vor der verdummenden Ideologie des positiven Denkens und schildert die demoralisierende Wirkung einer selbst verordneten Hurrakultur. Sie belegt darin in fundierter Weise, dass der Zwang zum Glücklichsein nicht nur blind für die Realität macht, sondern wegen des ständigen Scheiterns eigener Glücksansprüche auf die Dauer auch depressiv. Ehrenreich analysiert all die Wunderheiler, Hersteller von Schutzengeln und Verkäufer falscher Hoffnungen etwa bei Erkrankungen. Affirmationen sind in der Psychologie immerhin aber eine der möglichen Methoden, wenn es darum geht, sich selbst zu ändern. Unter Affirmation versteht man dabei einen selbstbejahenden Satz, den man sich selbst wieder und wieder sagt, um die Gedanken allmählich umzuprogrammieren. Das Ziel dabei ist, das Verhalten und die Gefühle zu dauerhaft zu verändern, denn Denken, Fühlen und Handeln hängen wechselseitig zusammen und wenn man seine Gedanken durch Affirmationen dauerhaft ändert, dann ändert sich nach einiger Zeit vielleicht auch das Verhalten und vielleicht auch die damit verbundenen Gefühle. Affirmationen sollte man auch eher indirekt formulieren, wobei man selbst herausfinden muss, ob man sich wohl mit der Affirmation fühlt oder nicht. Man kann Affirmationen auch nutzen, um Probleme zu bearbeiten, wenn man weg von etwas Unerwünschtem will, wobei es wichtig ist, das Problem in ein Ziel umzuwandeln: “Was will man anstelle dessen?” Wenn man ein Affirmationstraining ein paar Tage gemacht hat, merkt man normalerweise die ersten Ergebnisse. Manchmal gibt es auch eine Erstverschlimmerung, d. h. , es wird also erst einmal kurz schlimmer, bevor es besser wird. Man sollte sich dann selbst nicht zu viel Druck machen. Viele Menschen fangen an, ihre Affirmationen zwar zu verinnerlichen und hören dann aber viel zu früh damit auf, sodass sich das alte Verhalten und die alten Gefühle, die tief sitzen, wieder durchsetzen können. Ist jemand in einer positiver Stimmung, ist es egal, ob er oder sie an etwas Schönes oder Trauriges in der Vergangenheit zurückdenken, denn danach geht es ihm oder ihr besser. Jedoch gilt nicht der Umkehrschluss: Der gut gemeinte Ratschlag, an etwas Schönes zurückzudenken, wenn sich jemand in einem Tief befindet, ist sogar schädlich, denn Internetstudien von Jochen Gebauer Institut für Psychologie der Humboldt Universität Berlin lassen den Schluss zu: Auch die Erinnerungen an schöne Ereignisse fühlen sich für Menschen in negativer Stimmung ewig weit weg an, sodass es ihnen danach meist noch schlechter geht. Eine Erkenntnis, die nach Meinung von Gebauer in die Betreuung von Personengruppen, die alt, krank oder depressiv sind, einfließen sollte. Zahlreiche Ratgeber des positiven Denkens stellen für viele unbedarfte LeserInnen daher eher eine Gefahr dar, denn die Anbieter sind mehr gute Verkäufer als seriöse Wissenschaftler. Autoren wie Dale Carnegie oder Joseph Murphy, die behaupten, dass der Mensch mittels Vorstellungskraft Einfluss auf sein Unterbewusstsein nehmen können, sind noch immer Bestseller. Um ihre Methode zu propagieren, stellen sie natürlich nur erfolgreiche Beispiele vor. Und wenn trotz intensiver Autosuggestion von Zeit zu Zeit Misserfolge, Niederlagen oder Rückschritte passieren, wird dies als persönliches Versagen interpretiert und führt häufig zu Selbstvorwürfen und Depressionen. Allerdings lässt sich die Wirkung des positiven Denkens lässt nach wissenschaftlichen Kriterien aber nicht beweisen. Man darf das “helpful Denken” nicht mit der “positiven Psychologie” verwechseln, denn dabei handelt es sich um einen wissenschaftlichen Ansatz, mit dem seit den neunziger Jahren des vorigen Jahrhunderts intensiv geforscht wird. Ein wichtiger Vertreter der positiven Psychologie ist Martin E.
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